The Provenance Register Standards of credibility, rendered as software
— entries on file

Provenance

A citation tracer for statistics that travel. Each number is followed from the version everyone repeats back to the primary document — and to the exact point where the retelling drifts.

Exhibit A · how a statistic loses its footnote

“97% of scientists agree…” of the third of climate papers that took a position.

Cook et al. (2013) read 11,944 abstracts. Two-thirds stated no position; of the third that did, 97.1% endorsed human-caused warming. The figure is real — and other studies put the consensus higher still. What dropped on the way to the headline was the phrase “expressing a position.” Read the primary study ↗

Open the register ↓
01 / Claim
As it is cited

The number in the form it actually circulates — speeches, posts, headlines, slides.

02 / Source
Trace to the document

Follow it back to the study, agency, or filing it rests on — or find that it rests on nothing.

03 / Quote
What the source says

The primary text, verbatim and attributed. The words the popular version was built from.

04 / Drift
Where it bends

The exact move — a dropped caveat, a widened scope, a swapped word — and what it changes.

What this is not. Provenance does not rule on whether an underlying issue is real or important. Climate consensus is real; hunger is real; gun deaths are real. The register checks one narrower thing: whether the cited number says what the citation implies it says. Often the honest correction makes a claim stronger, not weaker.

The Register

Eight ways a statistic drifts from its source. The codes below are both a taxonomy and a filter — most distortions are one of these moves, and a few are several at once.

Filter by drift type

Hover a code to see how that distortion works.

Filter by domain